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Social Security Problems

If nothing is done now to moderate the future growth of our Social Security entitlement program, future generations will suffer because of our government’s present inaction. It is up to the citizens of the United States to stand up and demand for change! Under current law the Social Security Trust Fund will run out of funds by the year 2052 causing an immediate 20-30% decrease in benefits to future retirees as forecasted by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO)

Social Security Revenues and Outlays as a Share of GDP Under Current Law


(Percentage of GDP)

Source: Congressional Budget Office.

Note: Based on the Social Security trustees' 2004 intermediate demographic assumptions and CBO's January 2005 economic assumptions. Revenues include payroll taxes and income taxes on benefits but not interest credited to the Social Security trust funds; outlays include trust-fund-financed Social Security benefits and administrative costs. Under current law, outlays will begin to exceed revenues in 2020; starting in 2053, scheduled benefits will not be able to be paid.

According to Dr. Marilyn Moon, Vice President and director of the Health Program at The American Institutes for Research, “My generation [baby-boom] has been negligent in saving for their retirement” 1. In the 1960’s Social Security benefits were 2% of GDP, now they have doubled to account for 4% of GDP, approximately $480 billion, and future projections have them accounting for over 6% of GDP. This dramatic increase can be attributed to the future retirement of the baby-boom generation. It is projected that over the next 50 years, the number of people over the age of 65 will double, while the number of people under the age of 65 will increase by less than 20%2. This will cause a decrease in the number of workers supporting each retiree from 3.3 workers per retiree to 2.0 over the next 40 years. This will put enormous pressure on the wages of future generations.

 “We have a ship that has sailed north for a number of years and is now nearing an iceberg,” exclaims Dr. Gene Steuerle of the Urban Institute when describing Social Security, “we must turn around” 3.

This is easier said then done. There is no free lunch in economics; in order reduce the impact of current generations on later generations, undesirable changes must be made to our system. The sooner the change, the easier the transition.

 

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