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"When we get to the long (run), I think we are facing some panic."
-Harvey Rosen:
Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers
The
demographic
storm and increasing costs of Health Care will cause the United States to have
very high future deficits. Because our population is aging quickly, the ratio
of workers to retirees is significantly decreasing, making it impossible for the
government to collect a sufficient amount of revenue in taxes to pay promised
Social Security benefits. Although currently running a surplus in the Social
Security Trust Fund, costs will exceed revenues by 2017, and by 2041, funds will
be available for only 73% of promised benefits. Health care costs are rising
dramatically as well, adding to the deficit problem. The rising costs of
Medicare and Medicaid are due to technological advances and the American
lifestyle. In the past twenty years, health care has grown from 5.8% to 12.8%
of GDP, and by 2011, health care is projected to make up 16.6% of our national
income. The combination of unfavorable demographics and increasing health care
costs will cause the United States to incur very large future deficits.
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